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How To Face Daily Challenges and Harsh Realities To Find Inner Peace through Mental Mapping
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Dread

3/31/2023

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I pondered different titles for this little essay. One was “Dreading Dread”; another, “Nightmares and Daymares.”


If not everyone, just about everyone has had a nightmare and, maybe, its daytime parallel, a daymare, that is, some anxiety. “Something might happen” is a background thought of the anxious. And, truly, such a thought is right on the money because “something” is always about to happen. The question is “Do I have to dread its coming?”  And what if Roosevelt was correct? What if the only dread we have is the dread of dread? Sure, he spoke of “fear,” and “dread” is different because it’s a deeper kind of fear. Its etymology reveals that dread runs all the way back to Proto-Indo-European, so its origin lies in the root of language, which, I take it, means it lies in the root of being human, maybe even in the root of being itself. Certainly, it runs deep in the brain if it “surfaces” when we are unconscious.


Earth is a place of risks. Maybe we know this from early on, delving into Jungian archetypes that lie in our primitive brain. Little kids—and you were once one—have an occasional nightmare that generates fear that daylight washes from the conscious brain. Some people, as you know, the people who live in constant or semi-constant dread, see the shadows even during daytime; they are awash in anxiety, floating on the sea of archetypes. For them, “Something might happen” is as persistent as tinnitus in an old ear.


After the Russians acquired nuclear weapons, an underlying dread pervaded the psyches of people across the Northern Hemisphere. What if the unthinkable should happen? What if the bombs begin to fall? When the world opened itself to weapons of mass destruction, it opened a door to a tinnitus of dread. A constant ringing of a bell that tolls for all. The thought that any moment can be almost everyone’s last moment lies in the background of anyone who knows that such weapons exist. We’ve added other such weapons since 1945’s bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki: Chemicals, microorganisms, and now computers running artificial intelligence—this last one predicted by science fiction writers ever since IBM filled a room with “thinking machines.” Seems that we do have much to dread. Not only will the ringing not stop, but it also is getting louder.


And dread feeds on the feeling of helplessness. I don’t know about you, but the thought in 2020 that an unseen biological agent, a deadly virus possibly manufactured as a weapon of mass destruction, had been unleashed on the planet generated a reasonable sense of concern bordering on dread: Dread of the marketplace, of confined plane cabins, of churches full of exhaling singers, and of schools filled with elderly susceptible teachers and unsusceptible young breathers. As thousands and then millions died, the dread manifested itself in public policies that restricted how humans could be human. And the dread still remains as threats to reimpose those restrictions resurface during any kind of sickness, from flu to strep throat. We’re all living by imposition or choice in Poe’s “Masque of the Red Death.”

​And as in Poe’s story, there doesn’t seem to be anywhere that is dread-free. We can seal ourselves off from the rest of society like Poe’s character, hiding behind masks, but we all know “deep down” that viruses and bacteria can find a way into our protected places, into secure confines, and into our lungs. Ultimately, since dread lies within, it also follows where we go, even when we distract ourselves with partying.


Does dread, deep-seated as it is, have a counterpart, some antithesis from which we can draw resistance to its detrimental effects on our psyches?


All that retreating from society foreshadowed by Poe’s characters probably did little to stop the spread of Covid-19 during the height of the pandemic. Viruses and bacteria are ubiquitous. Quash one, the other survives. Bacteria once ruled the planet—and maybe they still do because they can be found in every environment, even the environment inside rocks sampled from mines and wells miles deep and in hydrothermal vents and hot springs that exceed the boiling point of water. And viruses are probably just as ubiquitous—and maybe even older than bacteria that seem to have originated more than 3.5 billion years ago. They are a persistent danger to us, but we evolved under their threat, and here we are, almost eight billion in number.


Of course, the large number of humans is not a guarantee of any individual’s survival, but it does give each a statistical advantage as a weapon against dread. It’s an advantage we use all the time. Fear an auto wreck? Then why take the risk of going above the speed limit? Is it because your chance of being in an injuring or fatal accident is minimal when there are billions of drivers? Planes crash, but we still enter them. We accept risks on a risky planet. We accept security in the midst of dread. We counter dread in almost every kind of place at almost any time.


We’re equipped to handle dread, persistent and insidious as it is. When our physical places don’t shield us from it, our mental places do.
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The Wall

3/30/2023

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Emperor Hadrian would be amazed. So would Emperor Qin Shi Huang.


We’ve built many new walls not from brick and mortar, but rather from bytes. The walls those emperors built have endured centuries of wear; they are visible. The walls we have built across the Web might be invisible, but they, too, will last for centuries. They are the walls of hate and shame whose manifestation lies in the polarization of peoples not only of different nations, but also of people within any nation.


There is no Reagan to say, “Mr. Gorbachov, tear down this wall.” There’s only you.
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Ideals, Elitism, and the Death of Commonsense: A Dialogue

3/29/2023

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Professor and Plumber talk:


Plumber: Well, here’s your problem. One of your kids must have thrown this toy down there.


Prof: Hmnnnn.


Plumber: See it all the time. Putting my own kids through college with all the jobs.


Prof: So, how did you extract it?


Plumber: See these two nuts. Unscrew them and the whole shebang comes off.


Prof: Never noticed them before.


Plumber: [quizzical look] Well, it’s taken care of now.


Prof: How much do I owe you?


Plumber: Let’s see, labor, no parts…$33 trillion will do.


Prof: I’m sorry, did you say $33 trillion?


Plumber: Well, things have gone up. I gotta keep up, and there aren’t many plumbers in the area. That’s why I’m so busy. Heck, I can’t even find someone to hire, and even my own kids think the job’s beneath them. So, yeah. Sorry. But that’s the bill.


Prof: Can I make payments?


Plumber: Okay, I guess.


Prof: Thirty-three trillion dollars. That’s really exorbitant, I think.


Plumber: Well, if you want to have things, if you want to have EVERYTHING for EVERYONE, you have to pay. Comes a time when people find out they have limits.


Prof: But it’s just paper money. It’s only valuable because we say it’s valuable. It’s just an idea.


Plumber: See that roll next to the toilet. It’s paper. But it does run out. It spirals down to a paper cylinder.


Prof: There’s always more.


Plumber: So the current government thinks. Heck, past governments, too. NASA spent $23 million for a toilet on the Space Station. Wasn’t even made of gold. I do like the title however: Universal Waste Management System. “Universal”: must be usable by aliens, also. Heck. In speaking about aliens, the country has spent millions on toilets for them, who knows, maybe a billion bucks on them, maybe billions.


Prof: You’re not talking space aliens now, are you?


Plumber: There you go. You per-fessors can see right through things.


Prof: Don’t you think we have an obligation to provide help for the poor people displaced by climate change?


Plumber: Nope. But I do send money to support a little kid I never met. Send it through a charitable agency that helps to get kids an education in their native countries. Mine's in Honduras. 


Prof: But this is a big country. We can accommodate millions. And the rich can pay their fair share.


Plumber: How much do you make?


Prof: Huh??


Plumber: How much do you make?


Prof: I don’t think that is…


Plumber: I looked it up. Googled it. Not your salary exactly, but average college per-fessor’s. It’s over $100,000, and in some private schools, per-fessors make over $200,000.


Prof: Well, the years of training. The valuable research. The expertise.


Plumber: Expertise? You didn’t know how to unclog a toilet. But that’s good news for me, ‘cause I make as much or more than you because I can unscrew two bolts, and I’m not afraid to get my washable hands a little dirty.


Prof: We have other kinds of expertise. Expertise of the mind.


Plumber: Any of your kids—that is beside the little one who threw the plastic car into the toilet—any of your kids get into trouble?


Prof: Not much to speak of. At least, I don’t think so. Maybe a little acting up during spring break, but that’s to be expected. Nothing criminal as far as I know. Just college antics.


Plumber: But if they did anything wrong, doesn’t that fall under your “expertise of the mind”?


Prof: No, no. Human behavior isn’t easy to control. Kids have to experiment. My college-age kids from my former marriage are doing fine. One of them is a 4.0 student in gender studies; another is an honor student in communication studies with a minor in philosophy. And my oldest is already a college instructor in English, has his masters, and is working on his doctorate. I think my kids are all right. And all three belong to and are active in political organizations.


Plumber: Future leaders, huh?


Prof: Hope so. The country needs insightful leaders, people who can not only anticipate the future, but understand the ramifications of what we do today.


Plumber: Like $33 trillion in debt for things like a $23 million toilet? Millions more for toilets for aliens who also get free transportation, free community college education in some areas, free accommodations, sometimes free phones, free healthcare, free food…


Prof: We have an obligation to care for them. You don’t know their circumstances. I’ve traveled to some Central American countries for research; I’ve seen the poverty.


Plumber: Wait! You traveled there? Who paid for the research?


Prof: I had a grant.


Plumber: From?


Prof: The federal government.


Plumber: What did you find out?


Prof: Well, my research paper is rather complex.


Plumber: Simplify it for me. I’m just a plumber who can loosen two bolts and re-tighten them.


Prof: Okay. Well…uh… I found out that there are Central Americans who are poor and whose job prospects are very slim. I found out that Central Americans don’t have access to high quality education and that many kids don’t even go to school because schools are run in many places by private institutions like the Catholic Church.


Plumber: Yeah. Remember I just told you that I send money through a charity to support the education of a kid. So, I know. Tell me. What did your research paper do to help a kid in, say, Guatemala? I mean a real kid.


Prof: Well, I published a paper in a respected, peer-reviewed journal, and I’m writing a book.


Plumber: And that real kid?


Prof: If enough people in the government know the plight of the kids in Central America, they will create a committee and press Congress for foreign aid.


Plumber: In other words, you want to influence the government to spend my taxes on people in other countries, even though I am currently helping a kid in a foreign country on my own.


Prof: But the government has the money.


Plumber: Thirty-three trillion dollars in debt. The government doesn’t have any money. I am the government’s money.


Prof: You don’t understand the greater picture. The climate is making people move.


Plumber: I don’t think so. I think bad governments, corrupt governments have robbed their people of opportunities. I think criminals and cartels have taken over and have taken over for centuries. I think the weather isn’t…


Prof: Climate, not weather.


Plumber: I don’t think the weather has anything to do with it. People want free stuff. They get it here because people like you who, sorry to say, can’t unscrew two bolts, think you can give away money as though the toilet paper roll can’t run out.


Prof: The rich…


Plumber: Who’s rich. When I come into a home with two full baths and a powder room in the hall and another one in the finished basement, I see “rich.” The kid I support in Central America lives in a shack with a dirt floor and a tin roof. You are “the rich.”


Prof: But not as rich as the multimillionaires and billionaires.


Plumber: You mean like the people who started businesses like Kohler, the company that made all the fixtures I see in your bathrooms?


Prof: I’m not sure I follow…


Plumber: So, someone takes a risk, forms a company, makes a product, and gets a profit. Aren’t you the reason for that profit? I mean, really. You can’t unscrew two bolts, but you also can’t have a home without those two bolts and the toilet they hold to the floor, a toilet you see as essential but that you did not make. You bought the toilet, didn’t you?


Prof: It’s a necessity.


Plumber: No, it isn’t. I have a shovel in the truck. You could have dug a deep hole, thrown some lime in it, and put up an outhouse. Never knew of anyone with an outhouse that needed to call a plumber. Money saved. No high plumbing bill; no city water needed, and no sewage plant running 24/7 to handle your waste. Just a hole.


Prof: That wouldn’t work in a neighborhood.


Plumber: Why not? It used to.


Prof. Civilization. Progress. No possibility of typhoid fever. Clean ground water.


Plumber: And yet, before Kohler and others gave you the options you have, people survived for millennia with just a hole in the ground and no bolts. Heck. No rolls of toilet paper for much of human history, but what do I know, I’m just a plumber.


Prof: Who charges too much…


Plumber: I have both a skill and needs. I want what you have, a big house, cars for all in the family, a cushy life in academia, and someone to fix my stuff when it breaks. I want a government-funded trip to a foreign land. I wouldn’t even mind being called to fix the toilet on the Space Station at the government’s expense, but I don’t want to handle the waste under microgravity. On Earth, it stays in the hole and pipes unless something backs up the water, a clog like a toy.


Prof: I think you have a limited view. I’m looking at the larger picture.


Plumber: Yeah, the one that cost Americans $33 trillion.
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Caught between a Rock (Peter) and Paul (Humility)

3/25/2023

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Poor Nancy. She’s gotten herself into a bind ethically and morally, not to mention politically.


Her archbishop, operating from atop the rock of Peter, just asked her to denounce her support of abortion. She refuses to do so, obfuscating something about supporting “those who are born” and a “woman’s right”  while implying that those who are not born, including those just minutes away from being born, are not equally worthy of her support. Maybe grandmother that she is, she has never witnessed a late-term abortion or the rescue of a premie in a hospital incubator. Relevance to a cause can be a bitch, right Nancy?


Her husband Paul (meaning “humble”) was attacked by an illegal alien. She has consistently refused to do anything practical about the border because, well, Trump is racist or Republicans are racists—even, I guess, the hispanic and black conservatives. An attack by an illegal Canadian druggie nudist isn’t by the way an attack by an illegal criminal drug-dealing and card-carrying cartel member with slightly browner skin. (Has she ever mentioned the plight of Americans who have been attacked, injured, or killed by illegal aliens?) Relevance to a cause can definitely be a bitch, Nancy. Let them all in without some Ellis Island kind of vetting because of political expediency or have a husband attacked by a white illegal—gotta be two different things, right?


She backed all the restrictive measures during the pandemic, but neither kept her “six-foot-distance” nor wore a mask during moments when she was unknowingly caught-on-camera. She did, however, wear a fashionable outfit-matching, color-coordinated cloth mask (that probably had no effect on stopping a virus) before many camera appearances. At least she had expensive ice cream to eat while the country was in lockdown and the ice cream makers were temporarily out of a job—remind anyone of Marie Antoinette and something about eating cake?


Nancy Pelosi, a successful money-maker in the stock market, has taken no noteworthy stand against the creeping socialism (or jumping socialism, if one counts Obamacare she touted) that is destroying capitalist entrepreneurship in favor of free stuff for anyone foreign or domestic who can lay claim to free stuff. Under her watch, Congress spent (allocated) more money than had been spent during all previous Speakers combined. At least she voted for 87,000 new IRS agents whose salaries, say at an average start of $50,000 will equal 4.35 billion dollars just in the first year—mandated raises to come, of course, and then all those retirement and health care packages to follow ad infinitum. Caught between statements about “caring for the little people” (i.e., middle class and working families) and raising taxes that will affect those “little people” who have investments in the very businesses she taxes, Nancy is definitely in a difficult position to defend logically.


The problem with any of us lecturing any others as so many do, is that all of us, regardless of political persuasion or religious affiliation, can’t be fully consistent with our ideals. Ideals are too simple to execute practically in “the real world.” They are also difficult to define precisely because they can, like the circles of a Venn diagram, overlap. The world’s just too complex. It throws us often and unexpectedly into self-conflict, like being for healthcare, but not recognizing that a late-term “thing” half out of the womb is a human.


So, there stands Nancy, caught between her religion and her personal wealth and the politics of abortion and socialism. She is caught between acting on her personal entitlement and on restricting the lives of others. She is caught between unmitigated illegal migration and a husband attacked by an illegal immigrant. She’s caught between indurated arrogance and humility.


It’s a bummer to be caught between religion and political expediency.
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It Hit Me like a Brick

3/24/2023

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Every so often I peruse books published online by Project Gutenberg, essentially an online library of books whose copyright expired. And every so often I come across a statement or two in those “old” books that foreshadows what I have written. Or, maybe, to be fair to those “older” authors, I should say, “that anticipated thoughts I merely echoed.” Such stumbling upon a foreshadowing idea occurred just minutes ago, when I opened Looking Further Forward: An Answer to Looking Backward by Richard Michaelis (1890). ‘’


Michealis’s book was a fanciful refutation of Bellamy’s Looking Backward, a book that extolled the virtues of communism/socialism. In the refutation called Looking Further Forward, the author projects himself into the future as he goes full Rip Van Winkle, waking to find himself the same age after sleeping “113 years, 3 months, and 11 days.” During those 113 years, the world has become Bellamy’s ideal communist/socialist society; everyone gets a “full share” of all “good things produced on earth”; and “people live without cares.” Not quite, of course. That’s where Michaelis's tale and satire hit the ground running awake to the ideal utopia of 2003, I’m guessing probably about the time Bernie Sanders began seriously itchin’ to be our first socialist president.   


Ideal. Utopian. But decidedly, just not gonna happen, as you know if you have any experience with human beings. Michaelis writes that, “he [Bellamy] overlooks all difficulties in the introduction of his proposed changes, he really believes his socialistic air-castles must spring into existence very soon and without obstruction, and he populates his fairy palaces with angelic human beings, who would never by any possibility do anything wrong. The surmise, that men and women in a communistic state, would put off all selfishness, envy, hate, jealousy, wrangling and desire to rule is just as reasonable as the supposition, that a man can sleep one hundred and thirteen years and rise thereafter as young and fresh as he went to bed.”


I didn’t have to read far into the book for the gist of Michaelis’s work. In fact, the opening paragraphs of his Preface made me pick up my keyboard to write what you will read here. He writes in that preface:


    “Mr. Bellamy …would, …in the name of equal rights, deprive all the clever and industrious workers of a large or the largest part of the products of their labor for the benefit of their awkward, stupid, or lazy comrades! And this would be what Mr. Bellamy is pleased to style justice and equality!”


That there are awkward, stupid, or lazy capitalists, notwithstanding, Michaelis’s point isn’t far off the mark for understanding the outcome of socialist and communist systems. Regardless of the ideal communes of people like Bellamy, Bernie Sanders, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and including those noted failures of such utopian projects like Brook Farm and Cuba, the historical reality is that such people and social structures engender laziness as the fruit of their proposed social equity systems. With no incentive to excel because all are given what the elite predetermine is their due, the subjects of socialist and communist governments have their entrepreneurship and creativity quashed when either or both conflict with government standards of equity.
The absurd claims of those like Bellamy, Sanders, and the like all act like trumpet calls warning us to retreat from such people. But they don’t hear the horns of warning. Their proposed utopias have been mocked by satirists, essayists with brains and a sense of history, and novelists like the late Kurt Vonnegut, whose “Harrison Bergeron” reveals the tragic outcome for those who by virtue of inborn talents, enthusiasm, energy, and skills outshine others in an “equity world.” In Vonnegut’s tale, a Handicapper General’s agents enforce equity by requiring those who excel to wear some limiting device (the stronger, for example, must wear weights; the brighter wear headache-imposing earphones). Gotta be equal in an equitable world, right? And if one can’t elevate the energy, talent, and intelligence of the terminally lazy, untalented, and stupid, then the only recourse is to handicap the superior humans. The goal, not stated but implied, is universal mediocrity.


Of course, one might argue that there is proof of industrialism in people who favor socialism and communism or who are subject to such regimes and that the proof lies in technological accomplishments within China, Russia, and even nuclear North Korea. But one needs to remember that secrets of the atomic bomb were surreptitiously taken by the Soviets and who knows who else, and that much of China’s advances in technology have been piggybacked on the stolen intellectual property of Americans. But skip the military tech and concentrate for a moment on successful small businesses and private ventures that required the risks of entrepreneurship. Those many failed collective farms of the Soviet era stand as a permanent testimony to the degradation of entrepreneurship under communism. Technological advances made on the basis of already existing tech are one thing; a population of self-aggrandizing self-motivated capitalists is another. Which system, socialism/communism or capitalism, made the modern world modern?


Of interest to me is Michaelis’s reference to his hometown as a den of communism. Chicago. Hmmnnn. Isn’t that where Bernie Sanders graduated in 1964. Here’s Michaelis in 1890:


    “Chicago has for the last fourteen years been the centre of the communistic and anarchistic agitation in the United States, and in defending the fundamental principles of American institutions against these theories, that were imported from the overcrowded industrial centres of Europe, I became quite familiar with them as well as with the notions and peculiarities of social reformers, who imagine themselves in possession of an infallible receipt to perfect not only all human institutions but also human nature.”


Is there an endless echo of this in all the words of socialist reformers? Things will be different this time. Things will be equitable. Life will be wonderful because everyone will have everything that he needs, leading to peace, harmony, and love among us all.


I’m writing this in 2023 twenty years after Michaelis’s fictional wakeup. He died in 1909, spared the knowledge of the 1917 Russian Revolution and the subsequent murders of millions under Stalin and subsequent communist regimes. But he would not have been surprised had he lived to see the subjugation of individuals to the state and the democides committed in the name of the state. He saw long ago the travesties engendered by communism and socialism. Too bad his book was never taught in American schools. Instead, we have arrived at an age when ignorance of socialism’s and communism’s failed promises and inhumane treatment of people—both occurring under the guise of equitable reforms—has enabled the unscrupulous to deceive the naive.


*Project Gutenberg. Richard Michaelis. 1890. Looking Further Forward: An Answer to Looking Backward by Edward Bellamy. Chicago. Rand, McNally & Company, Publishers.  You can find the down-loadable book online at the Project Gutenberg website.






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Just a Note

3/23/2023

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“Bummer. Been singing “Datt-Datt-Datt-Daaaaaaaah, Datt-Datt-Datt-Daaaaaah” since I was a child. It’s from something Great-great-great Van Grandpa wrote. All my Beethoven relatives know the tune, even singing it around a fifth of whiskey on holidays. And now I find out I might not be related. All those years of walking around pridefully for naught. Oh! Sure we have the same name, but the genes! The Genes! No wonder I stopped taking piano lessons and got rejected by the church’s choirmaster. I guess music just isn’t my thing. But on the plus side, maybe I won’t go deaf in my old age. Datt-Datt-Datt-Duuuuuuh.”


According to a DNA analysis of Ludwig’s hair, “The living Van Beethoven men were shocked to learn they likely aren’t biologically related to the composer, Dr. Larmuseau said. ‘I reminded them that there is still a legal and genealogical connection with Beethoven, but people also value the biological connection and it is gone now, he said.” * Then there’s that tale of Beethoven’s failed proposal to Therese Malfatti and his writing “Für Elise” for her. The story goes that there never was anything physical to their relationship, but certainly it seems to have engendered a musical piece everyone has heard.


Makes you wonder. How far back can you trace your genetic heritage? Could be someone in that line of DNA you never knew existed. It’s almost as though humans have been humans acting as humans acted throughout human history, all those occasional or frequent moments of couplings after some drinks in a bar where the piano man played and sang Billy Joel’s “Piano Man.” Maybe even after a concert of the Fifth and over a shared fifth. Or, filled with “Joy” after a concert of the Ninth. Not that Great-great-grandma was promiscuous or anything like that…


*Amy Docker Marcus, march 22, 2023, 11:05 am ET, The Wall Street Journal online at https://www.wsj.com/articles/beethoven-dna-hair-health-98155ce5 Accessed march 23, 2023.
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Owashtanong

3/22/2023

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Called “the Far-flowing River” by the Ottawa, Michigan’s Grand River  (or Owashtanong) once had a mile of rapids that gave Grand Rapids its name. The name remains, but the rapids were inundated by impounded water as early as 1835. There might be some significance in the endurance of the name and in the disappearance of the rapids.


And that significance comes from a new policy by Grand Valley State University. Graduation, once a school-wide celebration and part of a “uni” (one, united), is now a set of discrete events. Every special group has its own graduation. Want one of your own?


Here’s the story: Grand Valley State University's Multicultural Affairs Office lists graduation ceremonies or celebrations for Black students, Asian students, "Latinx" students, Native American students, and "LGBTQIA+" students next month. The university will also have a general commencement ceremony for all students. *


Whoa! Did you read that last part? There will be a “general commencement ceremony for all students.” Is the university celebrating the acquisition of degrees or the acquisition of a new version of segregation? Has the idea of an alma mater for all graduates been inundated like the former rapids of the nearby river? And if one goes to a special celebration for a discrete group, why would that person bother to go to the general commencement?

I overheard this conversation on Alum Day in a coffee shop between two "alums" (Can't, by the way, decide on using Alumni, the Latin masculine plural used for centuries for all graduates regardless of sex, or Alumnae, the feminine plural used for centuries to refer to female graduates exclusively and I label them 1 and 2 with, of course, no significance assigned to the numerical order, no hierarchy intended, and no privilege intended for either or both, but i need some way to refer to them as separate identities).


1. “Did you graduate from Grand Valley?”


2. “Yes. I was there in the early 2020s.”


1.  “What a coincidence. That’s when I was there. In what year did you graduate?


2.  “2023.”


1.  “Me, too, but I don’t remember ever running into you on campus. Were you a commuter?”


2.  “No, no, no. I was there, full-time.”


1.  “Wonder why our paths never crossed.”


2.  “Maybe you weren’t in my segregated group.”


1.  “And what was that?”


2.  “I belonged to the ‘Undecided-whether-I-am-a vegan-or-carnivore-French-
Native-American-with-a-hint-of-Scottish-genes’ background.”

1.  “Sounds really well-defined.”


2.  “Yep. I majored in ‘Undecided Studies,’ and minored in ‘Differences-studies.’ There were ten of us in my class. I got to know some of them, but not the ones who didn’t have Scottish genes or Native American genes.”


1.  “So, you got to know people were undecided about their diet?  Are there jobs out there for...”


2.  [Ignoring the partially expressed question] “Yes, that’s about it. We were a confused but very close-knit group. All of us were reared in homes with very open-minded parents who let us decide what we wanted to eat. Ate a lot of candy, but look at me. Our graduation party was relatively short because many of us had to report to our career jobs in restaurants. However, at our celebration we did have someone dressed in traditional Native American headdress, wearing a kilt, and playing the bagpipes, and we had a banquet that featured tallow and tofu.”


1.  “Hmnn. No suet. But did you also attend the ‘general graduation’ at semester’s end?”


2.  “Couldn’t go; had to work night shift now that the restaurant stays open till midnight in the drive-through. Anyway, I didn’t want to associate with anyone who wanted to be part of a general population of humans. All that integration is so repulsive. Imagine mingling with those white privilege students who don't have student loans. My group was special; we bonded in our shared social anxiety over the persistent persecution of French Native Americans of Scottish heritage and vegan-carnivores.”


1.  “I’d say, ‘Go Lakers,’ but I think that has been dropped from the school’s song. Do you think there’s anything left of American melting-pot culture, that has flowed through the course of history, or has it all been drowned by a series of flow-stopping social dams?”

2.  "As I suspected, you must have gone to the general graduation ceremonies. Gotta go. Think I see...yes...there's Pat, my roommate during my freshperson year. Pat...Pat! Oh! Pat." [running off, kilt flapping in the wind, bagpipes dragging on the ground, feathers flying from the headdress]

1.  [to barista] "Another small coffee, please. Black with cream." 


*Fox News online. Kristine Parks. Published March 22, 2023 2:00pm EDT
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Two Brothers, One Ukrainian, One Russian, Both Slavs

3/22/2023

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On the Ferris Wheel of human history a fundamental cycle of the human psyche turns between dehumanization and humanization, between hate and empathy. Is there any way to stop that wheel from turning, say, by halting it on the platform of compassion? Why does that wheel have to turn ineluctably?


I suppose the truest test of our humanity is our ability to empathize with those whom we don’t like when they are suffering. Although I personally found myself readily empathizing with Ukrainians under attack from the very beginning of the Russian invasion, I struggled a bit with empathizing similarly with the conscripted Russian soldiers and their families. And then I realized that even those young men were—what should I call them?—human beings and victims themselves.


It’s probably true that some of those Russians, reportedly mostly those in the Wagner Group, acted savagely against the innocent people of Ukraine, and it’s probably also true that they have committed war crimes (that evidence seems to be piling up). Am I angered? Sure. Would I like to see them punished? Definitely. But what about that young Russian drafted into a war for which he had no interest, no passion, no sense of loyalty to a futile cause, and no desire to end life prematurely.


Okay, maybe we are all guilty of some kind of evil, maybe a snub, a word in gossip, even a thought of a comeuppance for someone. But, sinner that I am, I would still like to see all evildoers punished in a way commensurate to the degree of evil they committed. I’m especially vengeful when evildoers victimize the unsuspecting and undeserving innocent.


I don’t know about you, but I’ve always felt that bullies of any kind and at any level need to be confronted and punished. That feeling is tough to overcome when I see the helpless abused. So, when I think of the needless killing perpetrated by some Russian soldiers, I want some kind of retribution. And that makes me ask why I feel so. Could it be that sitting safely in the United States, I cannot exact any retribution and enact justice for the weak and downtrodden? I can only fume in powerlessness. Yes, I want to see Russian soldiers guilty of war crimes punished severely, but this desire for justice or vengeance conflicts with my empathy for those Russians who have been forced into the maiming, killing, and destroying. I feel for those men who were seemingly conscripted just to die needlessly in the so-called meat grinder of eastern Ukraine because a power-hungry Vladimir Putin has hegemony in mind.


Acts of evil challenge our sense of compassion. The indiscriminate bombing of Ukrainian buildings that destroyed hospitals and schools makes empathizing with a wounded Russian soldier difficult. Yet, I know that many Russians have been convinced that Ukrainians were Nazis about to attack, as though 2023 were 1941, when Hitler invaded Russia. I also know that the controlled Russian media have served as Putin’s puppets and that they continue to spew propaganda to a largely uninformed populace. One of the components of empathy is knowledge of others. Many Russians, some even with family and friends in Ukraine, do not know whom they injure and kill. But isn’t that always the case in war?


Anti-war poems, fiction, and songs by those horrified at the travesty of conflicts have for millennia (at least since Aristophanes comedy Lysistrata) tried to show the futility of war and its unnecessary suffering. Those works often point us toward our commonality and, thus, to our motive to empathize. They “humanize” the fallen. Take Keith Douglas’s “Vergissmeinnicht,” for example. Returning to the site of an attack, a soldier discovers a picture that the dead attacker carried. Douglas writes:


    Look. Here in the gunpoint spoil
    the dishonoured pictures of his girl
    who has put: Steffi. Vergissmeinnicht
    in a copybook of gothic script.


Or think of the scenes described in Michael Shaara’s The Killer Angels and Stephen Crane’s The Red Badge of Courage, both Civil War novels that show the dehumanizing and humanizing aspects of war and the occasional interruption of violence by moments of compassion. Take into consideration lyrics of the 1951 Irving Gordon song “Two Brothers,” that contrasts the lives of one who “wore blue” and one who “wore grey.” The song’s last stanza ends with two women waiting by the railroad track for the brothers to return, each woman in a different color: “one wore blue and one wore black.” As the lyrics tell us, “one came home; one stayed behind.” * The haunting melody (in the slower versions) emphasizes empathizing. 


Think of those lyrics in the context of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Slavic peoples both. Brothers (and sisters) forced into the tragedy of war. Does that not elicit empathy even for the invaders? They were, many of them forced to fight their genetic relatives. And the same could be said for those in the Middle East, where Palestinians and Israelis share a close genetic heritage, for North and South Koreans, and for all those Catholics and Protestants who fought during the Reformation in the 16th century or during the Irish conflicts of the last century. Brothers and sisters all. "Do we not feel for our kin?"


And then we wonder: If we are eventually capable of feeling for our perceived enemies, why do we make them enemies in the first place? Do we need to dehumanize to empathize and to cycle the wheel of feeling through hate to get to the platform of empathy, where we could all stand together?


*Various versions:
https://genius.com/Tom-jones-two-brothers-annotated
See other versions n YouTube by Ali B. Olmo and Tammy Tuckey or the one by Mindy Brasach







    


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In the Real World

3/20/2023

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Prologue to a Blog

In the 1990s I led a team of researchers that inventoried Pennsylvania’s greenhouse gas emissions and later wrote a mitigation policy for the Commonwealth, a policy that, by the way, was “circular filed” because of a change in administrations. Mitigation, seemingly important to one governor was seemingly unimportant to the succeeding governor. Long story short: I regret my lack of foresight in conducting the research even though the US EPA sent me a letter praising it and saying the agency would use it for a model it would suggest all other states follow. Unwittingly, I had become one of the first to delve into the politically charged subject of “global warming” and green energy—which was the subject of another study I conducted for PA and the US EPA.
    As I just wrote, I regret my lack of foresight. I had no idea that “global warming” would become a worldwide obsession costing billions of bucks and potentially bankrupting countries while providing others with extortion plans. As India added to the Paris Accord, “Help us achieve the goals that we will not attempt to achieve sans help” (paraphrase, of course, you can look up the footnote beneath the signatures). I regret I did not see the creeping socialism in the name of mitigation that would aim to redistribute hard earned wealth and suppress fossil fuels to the detriment of most of the developed world (note Germany’s travails of recent times because it switched off coal).
     I also regret not seeing the rise in hysteria over global warming, now called “climate change” and the blatant hypocrisy of those who go to conferences to decry the actions of ordinary citizens who do not add carbon and particulates from jets to the atmosphere in travels to meetings. I further regret the folly of my government's advocacy of switching to electric vehicles and wind farms without a gradual transition period and an assessment of the byproducts of EVs and their supporting electricity networks.
   I am happy that there are some alternatives that make the electrical grid more secure for individuals, companies, and even public utilities, such as solar panels, geothermal heating, and tidal bore power plants like the one on the Rance River in Brittany, France. But coal is the reason that the modern world first became so technologically modern, and its effect was enhanced by the use of natural gas and petroleum. Take petroleum out of the historical picture, and the last century would have been the horse-and-buggy century without trucks and cars. The US Department of Energy notes that some 6,000 products in common use last century and this century have been derived from petrochemicals, including the coffee maker you used this morning. If modern society eliminates those 6,000 products and the many derived from coal, life as we have known it over the past 100 years will change dramatically—and global warming alarmists won’t be able to travel to distant locales to tell people not to travel to distant locales. In fact, they won’t even have the computers they could now use to Zoom themselves into a meeting.
    At the end of this blog, I will invite you to read the CNBC summary of the latest document from the IPCC that details how we can survive the existential threat of climate change. In reading it, note the anecdotal evidence given to support the IPCC's call for action everywhere and right now. Such evidence includes deaths from weather events--as though such causes of deaths are somehow new. Yes, there are people living in places where just slight changes in weather can be devastating. Recall the famine in Ethiopia that occurred decades ago when extreme drought hit the region. But as the late comic Sam Kinison remarked, "We have deserts in America, but we don't live in them. This is sand. This is sand." Of course, we do live in deserts regardless of the comic's comment, but we do so by virtue of redirecting water from the Colorado River or from extensive well systems that draw on water in aquifers like the Ogalala's 50,000 year-old water supply.


In the Midst of Hysteria, What Can One Say?


Next time you talk to a climate alarmist, ask him or her what scientific evidence backs up the claim that climate change is a threat so severe that it warrants shutting down drilling and mining fossil fuels, the very sources of energy that made the modern world modern. And don’t take anecdotes as proof.
    But before I ramble, let me advise that you start any such conversation with a declarative statement: “Yes, I’m for conserving what we have, for eliminating dangerous pollutants, for clean air and water, for clean-burning coal, which means efficient-burning coal, for using natural gas as a cleaner alternative to coal, for technologies that contribute to the modernism and affluence that we all have enjoyed (at least in the developed world), for renewable energy technologies like solar panels and wind mills and geothermal pipes, and I’m all for sustainable farming practices that preserve the natural heritage our ancestors passed on to us (Thanks, Teddy, for that national park stuff).” Now for the rambling:


Anecdotes, Anecdotes All around, but None Are Irrefutably Convincing


No doubt you’ll hear claims about storms, heat waves, droughts, floods, atmospheric “rivers,” and Arctic bombs. You’ll hear anecdotal evidence about coral reefs, spreading tropical diseases, attacks of fungus, and probably crimes, migrations, wars, and deaths galore, all supposedly caused by a change in climate. And none of it will be evidence that climate change is anything other than a hyped up hypothesis with little truth about its threat to the “entire” world. You’ll hear propaganda from “scientists” whose grant money depends on the belief in an “existential threat” and from reporters too lazy or too incapable of detailed analysis and in-depth reasoning to write extensively about an individual weather or other incident without linking it to global warming.


A Warming World? What Are “They” Doing about It? And I Don’t Mean Politicians.


Is the planet warming? Maybe. There is some evidence for that conclusion, but the warming has been neither consistent nor predictable by models that rely on the rise in atmospheric carbon. And some of the data has been fudged by people with an agenda. Is the atmosphere going to warm to the extent that its temperature will be an “existential threat”? Is the warming in part natural? Those are two questions you need to pose in general. Want some other questions to pose? What is the possibility that anthropogenic warming will actually stave off the next glacial advance that has the potential to wipe out the northern cities of Eurasia and North America under sheets of ice a mile or two thick? Would Canada and New England under ice—as they were not more than 22 millennia ago—be able to support their current populations? (Who lives and thrives in the center of Greenland or Antarctica?) Is there really an actual problem with an ice-free world other than the potential threat to populations living at sea level? Isn’t living at sea level (or anywhere else) in part a choice? And finally: If you are an alarmist, what are you actually doing about climate change that will make a difference? Show me the money: Show me the sacrifices you have made and the lifestyle you have rejected.


You’ll discover variations in “alarmism” and many problems generated by It, but, in Truth, You Will Change No Minds when You Point to Them and Ask, “See?”


    1) Some alarmists will be true to their convictions and go off grid, believing that they contribute nothing to anthropogenic change while changing the planet if ever so slightly.
    But all changes, however slight, do add up when spread among eight billion people’s actions over a prolonged period. Even “living off grid” requires changing the environment.
    Let me give an example of small changes that accumulate. At just about every gas station—if not every station—you’ll note some drops of gasoline on the pavement beneath the pump. Seemingly not a big deal, every drop is actually an anthropogenic change to the planet. If the liquid components of the gasoline evaporate, they enter the atmosphere; if the solids remain, they enter the ever-swelling quantity of soil and water pollutants. Some online conversion sites give an equivalence between a gallon of liquid and number of contained drops. A bit over 75,000 drops = one gal. There are about 1.5 billion cars spread across the planet. Let’s say the average tank holds 18 gallons. Each gets a fill-up, say, on average, maybe once every dozen days. Want to do some math? Note that in the real world, each fill-up probably means more than one drop spilled. Small stuff? Insignificant? Not when one adds the multiple fill-ups per year, including those of gas-guzzling expensive cars, such as those driven by rich alarmists.
    But what if the alarmists drive an EV? Isn’t that better? Doesn’t that cut down on on anthropogenic change? Certainly, EVs don’t contribute to wasted drops of gasoline. But they do require anthropogenic change. According to the IEA’s 2021 sustainable development projections of critical minerals, by 2040 80% of battery storage would be held by light-duty EVs. This alone would require a 40-fold increase in lithium and nickel. It would also mean mining and processing 20 times more copper, graphite, and cobalt than is mined and processed today. * Such an expansion of mining and processing will be coupled with tension between nations because national boundaries frame the locations of these resources. There’s very little chance that any one country will permit another to exploit its resources without paying a high price. The price of rare earths, for example, is likely to rise. And, oh! I forgot: all those wires needed to carry electricity to charging stations will be covered by insulation made from chemicals unobtainable without petrochemicals.     


    2) Some alarmists will do nothing to contribute personally while dictating ineffective changes to the lifestyles of the populace. This is where the politicians enter the game of “existential threat.”


    Am I being snide, condescending, and maybe foolish by referring to the “serious” matter of climate change as a game? Possibly. Maybe even stupid if the existential threat turns out to be an actual existential threat--not.    


    When I hear of alarmists speak of a zero carbon world, I have trouble taking them seriously. in spite of their own bodies being carbon-based and all their organic requirements for life also being carbon-based, some, it seems to me, believe that no carbon is good carbon. To arrive at zero, these alarmists will use the so-called climate crisis as a mechanism for the redistribution of wealth, that is, generally to take your wealth and give it to someone else because they “know better than you.” Fulfilling “green agendas” will mean the demise of aggressive entrepreneurship, the process that led to our general affluence. In the long run, restrictions and redistribution schemes will do little to nothing for the planet save impoverishing billions and causing the progress of civilization to retreat dramatically.


Is This a Joke?


We hominids and hominins took something like a couple of million years after we separated from our common ancestor with the chimps to discover and use fire. Some archaeologists argue that our sister and ancestor species used fire as long as 1.5 million years ago, but that is still relatively late in Earth history. Homo erectus seems to have controlled fire if evidence from South Africa’s Wonderwerk Cave is legitimate, and Israel’s Qesem Cave holds proof of controlled burning as early as 300,000-plus years ago when Homo sapiens sapiens was just becoming Homo sapiens sapiens. Heck, even Neandertalensis seems to have controlled fire back then.
    AND NOW…drumroll please…Joe Biden heads a group of hominins that want to eliminate fire in an effort to eliminate carbon. Thus, the movement to ban gas stoves that is sweeping through green movements in New York and California. (What are all those wealthy greenies going to do in their mansions with those Fulgor Milano Sofia Pro 48-inch Gas Stoves, the Bertazzoni Professional Series stoves, and the Thermador Pro Grand?)
    From 4.5 billion years ago to 1.5 million years ago (dubious) or closer to our own time at 300,000 to 400,000 years ago—all that time without controlled burning, and then after just a few hundred thousand years, the alarmists say, “No more burning. No more gas stoves. This drive toward civilization and modernism has to stop, and we’re just the ones to stop it. No more carbon. No more carbon. No more car….”
    Right, no more car. No more heat in the winter. No cooking. No controlled burning of anything because the by-product is carbon dioxide. No more college Homecoming bonfires just for a fun night of drinking. Not even the bonfire of the vanities! But if the ice returns because of Milankovich cycles like precession and orbital eccentricity, well, then I guess we’ll do what hominids did before hominins came along—freeze in the absence of fire as we eat our uncooked food. “Me carnivore; me eat raw meat."


Where’s the Evidence That the Threat Is an Ineluctable Consequence?


There is no evidence that a rise in global temperature by 2, 3, or even 5 degrees will be devastating to life across the planet. It might be very disruptive for some in many localities; it might be a boon for others in many localities. It might cause some populations of humans to migrate to higher latitudes or elevations. But haven’t humans done that repeatedly over the past 200,000 years? Why are we the exception? Some areas will be warmer; some not. Coral reefs might die off where they now form and reform in higher latitudes. Imagine going snorkeling off the new coast of Pennsylvania just to see the reef. Imagine growing corn in the Northwest Territories or on Greenland.


Dynamism in an Open System


Earth is a dynamic planet with a dynamic atmosphere that distributes and redistributes energy. The energy transfer is accomplished mostly by water: Vapor in the air and liquid in the oceans. Large circulation cycles like the Hadley cells in the atmosphere and the warm currents like the Gulf Stream in the ocean transfer heat from the tropics and move it toward the poles. The planet also loses energy to space, just as it receives energy from the Sun. It is not a closed system because of that exchange of energy between star and planet.


Do They Really Know Something the Rest of Us Do Not Know?


Each year for more than two dozen years, an ever-growing number of climate “scientists” have met in exotic places to discuss topics associated with global warming and climate change. And each year they have left those conferences having done nothing more than talk or share research, some of the latter only peripherally related to Earth’s climates. However, during those past couple dozen years, politicians have adopted the cause and imposed restrictions on carbon in the belief that they are actually saving the planet. Why have politicians like Joe Biden followed the alarmist crowd? Simple. All of us, including the President, act without examining the reasons for acting or examining the consequences of our actions beyond their original intent. The alarmists have heard enough. They are convinced. They even consider themselves to be saviors.


As we all know, repeating an idea ad nauseam eventually wears down the most thick-skinned of the laity. We’re pretty much all involved in the subject of climate change because it’s inescapable. It’s become a part of the civilized world’s psyche. I just saw that the new catchphrase, spoken by Hillary Clinton and VP Harris is “climate anxiety.”
    More work for counselors and psychotherapists who will never run out of work in a world that generates new psychological ailments almost yearly. And I recently saw a report on how millennials are refraining from reproducing because they don’t want to have children enter such a doomed world. Great. Mission accomplished. No people, no anthropogenic carbon dioxide. But not so great, really. Whereas those in the developed affluent nations fail to reproduce, the people in the undeveloped nations continue to be fruitful and multiply, and in doing so, they are generating more people who want to have the affluent lives of the declining populations of the developed nations.
    The planet will as it has for eons undergo climate changes for various reasons from orogeny to erosion, from shifting plates to shifting ocean currents, from plants and animals photosynthesizing and respiring, and from Milankovich Cycles and solar activity. If we add some greenhouse gases, we’ll have an effect, but any one of the large scale causes can overwhelm what we do, so worrying about climate change is an exercise in futility.


Climate Anxiety? Get a Life; Get Real


I have no doubt that some people really do have “climate anxiety.” I also have no doubt that such people have lived lives shielded from the harsh realities of “the real world.” Want to compare anxieties? Given those who recently suffered loss of family and neighbors in the earthquakes in Turkey and those who also suffered such losses in various wars, including the Ukrainian invasion, I consider those suffering from “climate anxiety” to be among the weakest personalities on the planet. But then, that’s just a “kick-them-in-the-butt-and-tell-them-to-get-a-life” me talking. Think about it. They’ve been told that the planet will get warmer, so they become emotionally distraught. After years of Al Gore and others chanting their climate mantra, the emotionally weakest among us have been trained to react to any weather event as though it is a harbinger of the dreaded existential threat changing climate poses to the entire planet. (Hit me on the head with an asteroid or a nuclear bomb)
    
And There’s No Convincing Those Who Live in Fear


Fear is a terrible condition to suffer without respite. But it really doesn’t matter which way the weather turns when the thought of climate change as an existential threat dominates the mind. If it gets colder, it’s climate change. If it gets warmer, it’s global warming. There’s no weather phenomenon that alarmists don’t connect to their overriding perception of that “existential threat.” The burgeoning crowd of worried believers are willing to relinquish the wealth they derived from the use of cheap fossil fuel energy and to give it to a manipulative group of self-proclaimed elites. They yield to redistribution of wealth advocates who exempt themselves from the redistribution that they preach as a way to stop climates from changing.


When Will It End, All This Fear Mongering?


Sad to say, not in your lifetime. There are just too many believers to stop the global warming snowball from rolling down the hill. Thousands attended the recent COP 27. More thousands will attend COP 28. All will congratulate themselves on research and promulgation. All will plan to attend COP 29 in some exotic location to be reached only by plane trips. And the ever-compliant media will echo every warning.


In the Real World, Just as Forrest Gump’s Mother Taught Her Son, Stupid Is as Stupid Does


It’s one thing to protect local environments from anthropogenic changes that destroy ecologies; it’s another to destroy by restoring. Huh?
    In my research for the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania’s Legislature on the effects of underground coal mines, I came upon this very problem. Longwall mining in panels a thousand feet wide and a mile or two long causes almost instantaneous subsidence of the overlying ground, affecting natural and artificial surface features. Streams that were free flowing sometimes have their flow interrupted by such subsidence as a “wrinkle” in the ground acts as a dam. Soon after the blockage, a small pond forms, and critters who like to live in and around small ponds create a new ecology that replaces the one associated with the previously freely flowing stream. So, the question becomes one of choosing which ecology should be preserved, the initial one of the flowing stream or the later one of the dammed stream.
    And the same might be said for the land and sea ecologies affected by any temperature change. If we look at the American Southwest and the land of the Anasazi, for example, we see a semiarid to arid landscape that was not always the ecology of the area. Long-term droughts changed the previous ecology and uprooted the Hopi. Now, what is preferable, the former ecology, which was wetter, or the current ecology, which is drier? What happens to the critters and plants that love the heat and aridity? Are they not worth preserving?
    So, also, we should ask about, say, North America of 22,000 years ago. Is that cold ecology not worth restoring at the expense of the current ecology? Shouldn’t we hope for ice sheets that cover Canada and northern states because it will restore the lost ecology?


Of Course, No Alarmist Will Engage You when You Speak Thus.


Sure, there are some legitimate concerns expressed by alarmists. Although sea level, which has risen at least a hundred meters since the last low stand, is rising at a very slow rate of 2 to 3 millimeters per year, it will, in fact, be a meter higher in just under a millennium, and there is a chance that the pace of inundation might pick up to more millimeters per year. So, yes, there can be concern, but such concern isn’t reflected in the continued buildup of cities and their many outlying communities (including resort communities) along coasts. Sea level rise? “It won’t affect my beach house,” say Obama, Trump, and Biden. (Obama has two, by the way)
    If the threat of a rising sea is so great (a meter per millennium), why haven’t local zoning officials rejected the potential tax revenues from homeowners and businesses to shut down all current and future building? Why hasn’t every coastal location planned as Texas is now doing along the Galveston coast, a $31,000,000,000 sea wall? Hey, it’s just thirty-one billion. Surely, Delaware outside Biden’s home, Martha’s Vineyard outside Obama’s East Coast home, Hawaii outside Obama’s island home, and Palm Beach outside Trump’s home can find the funding somewhere, maybe from the U.S. Treasury. You can ask.
    You’ll be dismissed as a loon if you ask.


Sorry but Happy


Sorry this ran to more than 3,500 words. Happy you stopped by to read it. Hope I stimulated your own thinking on the matter. I could say more, but you now have a compendium of ideas for your next conversation with an alarmist (or, maybe if you are an alarmist, ideas to back  a new argument for your concern about “the existential threat”).
    
With an analytical mind, please read the CNBC summary of the latest IPCC report by Sam Meredith. It is entitled "World's top climate scientists issue 'survival guide for humanity,' call for major course correction." ** 

*Taylor, Tom. https://www.atlasevhub.com/weekly-digest/101-raw-materials-and-ev-supply-chains/ 
**https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/20/ipcc-report-on-climate-un-scientists-call-for-course-correction.html/  
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Phuket Your War, Vlad

3/18/2023

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I don’t know how anyone got the figures or whether they are even close to being accurate, but according to Thailand Business News online, * more than 200,000 Russians have fled their country to land in Phuket, Thailand. I guess they believe risking life in a land that suffered a giant tsunami is better than risking the travails of war in eastern Ukraine as a Russian conscript, where reportedly at least as many who fled to Thailand have become war casualties. Add to those 200,000 Russians who fled to Phuket additional Russians who have fled to other countries, and you’ll conclude that many Russians feel no loyalty to Putin and his regime.


“Baht” for Grace of God and a Ticket to Paradise, There Go I (to War)


Good news for rental owners in Phuket: Rentals that once went for 12,000 baht per month now go for 40,000 baht or more. “Baht” for the Phuket locals, not all is good news. The influx of Russians will eventually put a strain on employment, as this new diaspora tries to survive when they have less to no access to their credit cards and banks. Keep in mind that Visa and MasterCard shut off services and Russian banks were removed from the SWIFT financial network at the outset of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Maybe some of the 200,000-plus Russians would like to get home, but find they are financially incapable of funding their return. **


By the way, 12,000 baht equates to $345, and 40,000 equates to $1,150. Living in paradise is becoming increasingly more expensive. And, of course, there’s always the threat of a tsunami so large that it might kill people from Phuket to India.


The Unintended Consequences of Any War


It’s not unusual in modern times for affluent people to feel participation in a war of dubious justification is not worth the personal risk. Americans also fled the country during the Vietnam War. Since then, affluence has spread across the planet and into Russia, especially after the breakup of the Soviet Union that Vlad seems eager to reinstitute and reconstitute. And I guess it has never been the desire of many affluent people to risk their lives when the less affluent can be drafted. Even during previous wars, the affluent have evaded conscription. In nineteenth century Belgium, men avoided service through "purchasable military commutation.” ***


So, one consequence of unjustifiable and justifiable war is emigration. People simply leave rather than serve. If life is good in the present, why endanger it for a dubious cause? And of course, there are those who just can’t see themselves killing complete strangers toward whom they have no personal animosity, even under the constant assail of propaganda, such as Putin’s claim of Ukrainian Nazis at the Russian doorstep. (Or should I write, “Russian steppe”?)


What will happen to the Russian diaspora? Will they remain as immigrants in foreign lands? Will they return once Vlad is dead (an eventuality since the guy is не первой молодости? **** At age 70, Vlad has to know that his spring is long gone and that he, like all would be conquerers, will succumb to death either by assassination, disease, or old age. Certainly, the 18-35 age group that fled the country realize that time is on their side—as long as they can stay in paradise.


Another unintended consequence of the Ukrainian invasion has been the decimation of both the equipment and the fictitiously vaunted reputation of the Russian military to fight a conventional war. They have resorted to the strategy employed by Falkenhayn during the First World War at Verdun. Falkenhayn lost 377,000 Germans in the “meat grinder” of that long battle. Vlad has lost two-thirds that number according to reports that might be more true than they are Ukrainian propaganda. Certainly, he has lost a great deal of his vaunted tank corps, and lost those tanks to rather cheap and easy to use shoulder-fired rockets and little suicide drones that seem to have changed the nature of tank warfare.


Anyway, the Russians pose a threat of a perceived madman who has soldiers compliant enough to push those nuclear buttons, even though they are aware of the spread of radiation that would decimate their own families and the possibility of an attack on NATO that would initiate a hail of bombs on Russia and its sycophantic Press in Moscow. Seems that little good will come of this invasion, including the hate-in-perpetuity of the Ukrainian people for Russians and the eventual terrorist attacks and guerrilla warfare that will surface in future generations.


So, it seems that hundreds of thousands of Russians have only one message for mad Vlad: “Phuket your war, Vlad.”


*https://www.thailand-business-news.com/russia/96723-russians-to-thailand-as-a-refuge


*https://www.voanews.com/a/thousands-of-russians-flee-to-thailand-to-escape-war-/6979011.html


***Duxbury, Neil (2002). Random Justice: On Lotteries and Legal Decision-Making. Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 154–155 (citing 19th century Belgium and France, as well as America during the Civil War). ISBN 978-0-19-925353-1.


****”No spring chicken”
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