What were the climate alarmists saying about the drought and fire in California or the Hawaii’s tragic fire in droughty conditions? Oh! Yes! Climate change will forever alter the states and drive people to seek more humid climes—if they can find anywhere to resettle as the oceans rise and inundate all but the highest elevations.
And now, after a wet season, we find that almost all of California is drought-free and that the Hawaiian fires were caused by a rundown electrical grid. In California the water has recently returned as it has many times after many droughts over many years, decades, centuries, millennia, geologic periods, eras, and eons. The state’s northern reservoirs are full, and the southern “spreading basins” have captured some of Hilary’s water—though not much of it.
Chances are that on a planet mostly covered by water, rain or snow will eventually fall, interrupted by droughts with subsequent wildfires (and arsonists’ fires). Storms are inevitable everywhere, also. And on a planet ubiquitously covered by a population of eight billion people, chances are that somewhere someone is going to suffer from the vicissitudes of planet Earth.
Rain has, indeed, fallen over the past rainy season. Who-da thunk it? Obviously not the climate alarmists who now have to switch gears, reverse themselves to claim that the inundation of the state is the product of climate change. They never lose an argument: Drought: blame climate change. Floods: blame climate change. Blizzards: blame climate change… Get the pattern? They can’t lose the argument because they ascribe all to climate change.
And yet we know that weather is not anything if it is not fickle, even in the most sable environments and under the most stable climatic conditions, as in the Atacama Desert. Its vicissitudes are what define it as “the current condition of the atmosphere in a specific locality.” But we do know that climates have changed naturally, and we know that some of those changes have been affected, exacerbated, or enhanced by human activity.
Desertification and deforestation are examples. From the drying of the Aral Sea by the Soviet Union’s redirecting river flow to the dune-ification of Provincetown on Cape Cod by early pioneers’ chopping down the trees for ship masts, we humans have altered the landscape and in doing so, altered the albedo of Earth’s surface. Where rainforests have grown in the Amazon since the last advances of Northern Hemisphere ice (yes, they had a worldwide effect), there was an ice age patchiness. But since the regrowth, the now denuded landscape has changed from dark green to light brown or tan. Where sunlight was abundantly absorbed, it is now abundantly reflected. This same process has occurred over the surface of the planet since the rise of agriculture. Look down from a flight westward from eastern Pennsylvania or New York to Indiana. Do you not think those forests now turned farmland don’t absorb or reflect sunlight differently from what they did 300 years ago? So, yes, climate alarmists, humans have effected change all over the planet for millennia—even the Sumerians irrigated the land and, thus, altered the flow of water and the albedo of arable soils.
Weather is driven by large, often cyclic patterns like semipermanent high and low pressure systems (the Bermuda High, for example), shifting ocean currents or Hadley Cells subject to seasonal effects mostly produced by changing Sun angle on a tilted, rotating round Earth. Yet, even well identified patterns can fully account for weather’s fickleness. The larger influences on atmospheric conditions are coupled with smaller disturbances like cold, warm, and stationary fronts, the first of which is notorious for its squall lines.
Think of that “butterfly effect,” the idea based on Mandelbrot’s chaos theory that suggests a small event somewhere can effect a change in the weather elsewhere. Consider the weather as physical fractals that subtly repeat patterns influenced by phenomena like the movement of the semipermanent High northward or southward off the coast of California, a shift that usually, but not always, matches the changing Sun angle and that either allows moisture to enter the state from the Pacific or that blocks its movement landward. Think also of the Bermuda High that strengthens and weakens over the course of four seasons.
The mantra “It’s climate change” is here to stay, at least for a generation or two. Too many people have fallen into a trance over its repetition. Too many have adopted it as a go-to explanation for daily shifts in atmospheric conditions, and too many people cannot see that if one lives in a tornado zone or hurricane zone, then one should expect either or both kinds of storms, none of which would be the product of carbon dioxide.
The climate alarmists are mentally attuned to the mantra: It’s climate change caused by carbon dioxide. It’s climate change caused by carbon dioxide. Ommmmmmmm…..
Without going into details, such as the demonstrable fall of temperatures after a rise in carbon dioxide and a dramatic decline of that gas’s presence in the atmosphere over the last 50 million years, I’ll end with “Just because you repeatedly say it’s so, doesn’t make it so.”